Bumble Found Their Partner
But how long will it last?
Bumble went private today at $6.05 a share. Our data suggests three in ten of the people still working there might make money on the deal, assuming they survive the transaction.
Ask the workforce
Click one. It runs live against 120 million careers.
How many people has Bumble hired since the June 2025 layoff, and in which functions?How does average tenure at Bumble compare with Match Group and Hinge?We know when every one of them started, which means we know what their grants were likely priced at. If your grant was priced below $6.05, the deal could pay you. If it was priced above, it doesn't.
The potential winners are the new hires. The black bars are 2025 and 2026 hires who got grants priced around three-to-six bucks, so the premium could land on them…on paper, because many haven't even hit their one-year cliff yet!
Ask the workforce
Click one. It runs live against 120 million careers.
Where have people who left Bumble since the 2021 IPO gone, and which employers took the most?Which Bumble teams have lost the most people since the IPO?Anyone who joined from the February 2021 IPO through 2024 loses unless new deals are drawn.
Everyone gets the same $6.05 at the finish line. But individual start dates decide who gets paid.
How we counted: current Bumble and Badoo staff in the workforce.ai panel with a start date on record. Each person's sign-on grant is priced at BMBL's trailing three-month average close when they joined; could make money means that price is at or below $6.05, and assumes they stay through vesting. Pre-IPO equity is valued against Blackstone's 2019 mark. The merger agreement isn't filed yet, so treatment of unvested awards is assumed. Counts are in the workforce.ai panel.
See it live. Bumble's genome, or Bumble against Match Group, on workforce.ai.